So, Apple announces the iPhone 3G (does that make the 1st Generation iPhone the 1G iPhone or the iPhone 2.5G and is the iPhone 3G the 2G iPhone 3G?) and alongside the new look, the new software and other improvements, a svelte-looking Steve Jobs confirmed early reports that the price would drop to an unbelievable $199 for the 8GB model and $299 for the 16GB model.
Predictably, the price drop is due to a new subsidy deal with AT&T, as noted in this recent CNET article:
But the new deal comes at a price. AT&T executives said on a conference call with analysts and investors on Monday that the arrangement will put pressure on the company's profit margins and dilute earnings for the next year and a half. That said, the company believes that the new price point and improved Web surfing experience of the iPhone on AT&T's 3G wireless network will drive sales of the iPhone and get more customers using its data services. SOURCE
An update toward the end of the same article makes note of a concern that has been dominating the technology blog circuit for the past week or so, starting from about t-minus one second after Jobs announced the price drop: Due to the upgraded 3G network, AT&T will no longer offer iPhone specific service plans, and (gasp!) data service rates will go up by a minimum of $10 a month. As a result, the total cost of ownership of an iPhone 3G will ultimately go up over the course of a two-year contract when compared to a 1G iPhone utilizing the slower EDGE network. To add insult to injury, 200 text messages will set you back another $5 a month.
To be precise (and plenty of people are being very precise) the iPhone 3G will set users back $160 over the course of a two-year contract, when compared to a standard 1G iPhone contract, once the subsidy and extra costs are taken into account.
$160 dollars isn't exactly chump change but looking at total cost of ownership simply isn't a realistic way of gauging any given consumer's willingness to purchase a product. Ultimately, pointing out a long-term cost is little more than nit-picking in order to find some way to look a gift-horse in the mouth, and spending habits don't support that sort of thinking.
For example: Let's say my Netflix subscription is $10/month. (It's a little more than that, but the math is easier.) For 24 months, I pay $240 to get 2 movies at a time, as many times as I want in a given month. That's a good deal for me, because I can always afford to spend $10 a month. But wait! Let's assume that Netflix will allow me to pay an upfront fee of $200 and upgrades my account to 3 movies at a time, for a two-year contract. Great deal, right? I've just saved $40 and earned an extra movie, meaning I could, at a minimum, watch an extra twelve movies a year.
Except, that isn't a good deal for me at all, because I simply don't have $200 to plunk down on a luxury.
Another example: Ask any average joe on the prowl for a new iMac whether they can afford to get a mid-range setup for $1500 via a cash payment, and most people won't have it in their budget. Those same people can "afford" to take out a line of credit, pay off the iMac in $30-$50 increments, even at an ridiculously high APR of ~ 19%. In two years, that unaffordable $1500 iMac is going to have set back our average joe more than $2000.
That same average joe may have balked at spending $499 for an 1G iPhone, but will gladly consider spending $199 -- even with an extra $10 or $15 a month -- because the immediate savings seem so drastic while the monthly increase simply doesn't seem that bad and, the fact of the matter is, $160 spread out over two years only amounts to $6.66 more per month. (Nice.)
Essentially, anyone who wastes their time setting up a total cost of ownership chart either 1) doesn't understand the way we spend our money in America or 2) is nitpicking the iPhone because it's a convenient way to earn some page views. Either way, even with the two-year increase, Apple is about to sell a butt-load of iPhones.
All of this, of course, ignores the fact that AT&T's service plan for 3G Data is in-line with just about every other provider, when compared to their high-speed offerings. There's also that AT&T is charging their standard rate for a 3G data package, and would have charged the extra $10 with or without the subsidy.
That $160? It could have been $460.
This article was cross-posted from my blog.




